Director of Nationwide Intelligence Avril Haines additionally stated Russia’s precision munitions seem like working out shortly.
The slowed pace of fighting in Ukraine is ready to proceed over the following a number of months and america sees no proof that Ukraine’s will to withstand Russia has diminished, regardless of Moscow’s crippling attacks on the Ukrainian power grid, a senior US intelligence official stated.
Avril Haines, director of nationwide intelligence within the Biden administration, additionally stated on Saturday that she believed Russian President Vladimir Putin had been shocked that his army had not achieved extra in its battle on Ukraine.
“We’re seeing a type of a lowered tempo already of the battle … and we anticipate that’s prone to be what we see within the coming months,” Haines advised the annual Reagan Nationwide Defence Discussion board in California.
The Ukrainian and Russian militaries will try to refit and resupply to arrange for counteroffensives after the winter, however there was a query as as to if the Kremlin might obtain that goal, she stated.
“We even have a good quantity of scepticism as as to if or not the Russians can be in actual fact ready to do this. I believe extra optimistically for the Ukrainians in that timeframe,” she stated.
Putin is starting to realise the challenges his military is faced with, Haines stated.
“I do suppose he’s turning into extra knowledgeable of the challenges that the army faces in Russia. However it’s nonetheless not clear to us that he has a full image at this stage of simply how challenged they’re … we see shortages of ammunition, for morale, provide points, logistics, an entire sequence of considerations that they’re dealing with,” she stated.
The Atlantic Council, a US suppose tank, stated lately that winter situations in Ukraine could favour Russian defensive techniques and permit the Russians to usher in newly-mobilised forces to positions held east of the Dnipro River and close to Crimea within the south.
“It could be Russia’s tactic to pressure a stalemate by the winter from extra entrenched positions with the intent to start rotating newly educated and outfitted mobilization forces to the entrance as spring approaches,” the council stated.
Haines stated Putin’s political aims in Ukraine didn’t seem to have modified, however US intelligence analysts thought Putin could also be prepared to reduce his near-term army aims “on a short lived foundation with the concept that he would possibly then come again at this subject at a later time”.
She additionally stated Russia gave the impression to be depleting its army stockpiles “fairly shortly”.
“That’s why you see them going to different nations successfully to attempt to get ammunition … and we’ve indicated that their precision munitions are working out a lot sooner in lots of respects,” she stated.
“It’s actually fairly extraordinary, and our personal sense is that they aren’t able to indigenously producing what they’re expending at this stage.”
Requested concerning the results of Russian assaults on Ukraine’s energy grid and different civilian infrastructure, Haines stated Moscow’s purpose was partly to undermine the will of Ukrainians to resist, including: “I believe we’re not seeing any proof of that being undermined proper now at this level.”
Russia was additionally seeking to have an effect on Ukraine’s capability to prosecute battle and Kyiv’s economic system had been hit arduous.
“Ukraine’s economic system is struggling very badly. It’s been devastating.”
Visiting Kyiv on Saturday, US undersecretary for political affairs, Victoria Nuland, met President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and different senior Ukrainian officers the place she stated Putin was not severe about peace talks.
“Diplomacy is clearly everybody’s goal however you need to have a prepared companion,” she advised reporters.
“And it’s very clear, whether or not it’s the vitality assaults, whether or not it’s the rhetoric out of the Kremlin and the overall angle, that Putin just isn’t honest or prepared for that,” she stated.
Biden had stated on Thursday that he was ready to talk to Putin if the Russian chief was desirous about ending the battle. However the concept died shortly when the Kremlin stated the West should recognise Moscow’s declared annexation of 4 Ukrainian areas.